Position size — forex
Place the stop where the idea is wrong. Then let arithmetic pick the size.
Position size — gold
Ignore the word “pip” on gold. Work in dollars of price movement.
Expectancy
Set win rate to 80% and average win to 0.5R. Watch it lose money.
Losing streak probability
This tool found two errors in our own published guides.
How to use these
What we deliberately do not build
- A profit projector defaulting to 20% monthly. Consistent traders target 1–3% per month. Compounded, 2% monthly is 26.8% a year — an extraordinary professional return, achieved by people who are deliberately boring.
- A signal generator. Signals are the opposite of education.
- A price prediction tool. Forecasting gold means forecasting the Fed's reaction to data that does not exist yet.
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